Won't You Let me Take You On A Sea Change?

Why would this happen? Simple. Because metrics are numbers: ratios, averages, totals. It's easy to make metrics from financial data. It's very difficult to make them out of less quantifiable things, such as measuring how successfully one organization changed the world; protected the planet; or stopped the spread of a deadly disease.
I used to work for an org whose mission was to end poverty in the San Francisco Bay Area. And, sure enough, at the time, poverty was becoming far less prevalent in San Francisco. So could we be judged as successful? Could we grab the 2005 versus 2000 poverty statistics and claim the advances as our outcomes? Of course not. The reduction in poverty had far more to do with gentrification during the dotcom and real estate booms than our efforts. Poverty wasn't reduced at all; it was just displaced. And our mission wasn't to move all of the urban poor to the suburbs; it was to bring them out of poverty.
So the announcement that our ratings will now factor in mission effectiveness and outcomes could herald something worse than we have today. The dangerous scenario goes like this:
- Charity Navigator, Guidestar, et al, determine what additional info they need to request from nonprofits in order to measure outcomes.
- They make that a requirement; nonprofits now have to jump through those hoops.
- The data they collect is far too generalized and subjective to mean much; they draw conclusions anyway, based more on how easy it is to call something a metric than how accurate or valuable that metric is.
- NPOs now have more reporting requirements and no better representation.
So, my amended title: "We Need A Sea Change In The Way That Our Organizations Are Assessed".
I'm harping on this topic because I consider it a call to action; a chance to make sure that this self-assessment by the assessors is an opportunity for us, not a threat. We have to get the right people at the table to develop standardized outcome measurements that the assessing organizations can use. They can't develop these by themselves. And we need to use our influence in the nonprofit software development community to make sure that NPOs have software that can generate these reports.
The good news? Holly Ross of NTEN got right back to me with some ideas on how to get both of these actions going. That's a powerful start. We'll need the whole community in on this.


Comments
Since your post I've been
Since your post I've been thinking on the reasons there will not be a sea change and the reasons there potentially will be a sea change.
I might be coming over to your side Peter... impact metrics are driven, IMHO, by the aggregation of donor dollars into intermediaries. The intermediaries have the market power and social responsibility (self imposed) to ask the tough questions about reeal impact and require data from their grantees.
Kiva markets like you are making loans to poor folks, but in reality they are aggregating individual dollars into a KIVA bucket that is then distributed to MFIs that meet their Kiva bucket guidelines. Givewell was interesting but kooky until they had some real money to distribute. The grand daddy of all intermediaries, the United Way, talked about impact and logic models long before any of this impact measurement stuff started. And many more REDF, etc.
The actual money flow is tipping to these intermediaries. Once money is allocated on the basis of intermediaries (Kiva like sites, ratings groups, etc.) rather than on the heart wrenching pictures in the glossy direct mailer, then you need to be ready for a sea change.
Kiva got to 100M in a few years. We probably should underestimate the potential pace of change. Then again, I look at the % of online giving vs. offline and my estimates of the pace of change significantly decrease ;)